Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Aarnink A. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Magenta Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Hallescher

	1	X	2
	1.2	6	10
	1.2	7.25	11
	1.22	7	7.5
	1.2	8.29	10.86
	1.17	6	12
	1.19	7.1	11	Watch
	1.18	6.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.59)	6.89 ↑ (4.44)	10.34 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
77.6%

Draw
13.4%

Hallescher
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

21.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

20.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hallescher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-16.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hallescher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Hallescher Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hallescher will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wehen: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 6. Fechner G. 3. Gurleyen A. 10. Mrowca S. 4. Mockenhaupt S. 7. Heusser R. 19. Jacobsen B. 27. Rieble N. 8. Wurtz J. (C) 18. Prtajin I. 21. Hollerbach B.	23. Gebhardt F. (G) 16. Halangk L. 33. Nietfeld J. (C) 31. Landgraf N. 22. Hug N. 17. Casar A. 20. Deniz T. 10. Gayret T. 41. Berko E. 9. Muller S. 29. Bolyki A.
Substitutes
13. Amsif M. (G) 36. Elouarti N. 37. Ezeh B. 30. Froese K. 33. Iredale J. 25. Kempe D. 20. Najar S. 40. Robotta M. 5. Taffertshofer E.	7. Damer L. 11. Herzog A. 19. Loder E. 1. Mesenholer D. (G) 25. Reddemann S. 18. Steczyk D. 5. Vollert J. 26. Winkler A. 30. Zimmerschied T.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Doring N.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Wehen is certain favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Wehen won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 3 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Elversberg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Verl	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Dynamo Dresden - Wehen Wiesbaden	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Meppen	1:2 ✺
22.04.23	Duisburg - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLT
- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
20.05.23	Hallescher - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Saarbrücken - Hallescher	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	1:0 ✺
28.04.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Hallescher	4:1 ✺
21.04.23	Hallescher - Osnabrück	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.01.23	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:3
14.05.22	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1
13.12.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hallescher	2:1
16.05.21	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:0
09.01.21	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hallescher	1:1
23.03.19	Hallescher - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:4
07.10.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hallescher	2:0

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