Match Info

GERMANY: 3. LIGA - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Leuna Chemie Stadion (Halle)

Referee: Ballweg C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Hallescher		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.3	2.15
	3	3.6	2.15
	2.95	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3.07	3.76	2.21
	2.98	3.85	2.28
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.97	3.62	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.7)	3.59 ↑ (3.56)	2.17 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hallescher
31.5%

Draw
25.8%

Ingolstadt
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hallescher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hallescher than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Hallescher - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hallescher will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Schulze P. (G) 42. Eitschberger J. 3. Behrendt B. 31. Landgraf N. (C) 22. Hug N. 17. Casar A. 20. Deniz T. 23. Halimi B. 10. Gayret T. 28. Baumann D. 13. Bonga T.	1. Funk M. (G) 22. Costly M. 16. Malone R. 32. Lorenz S. 23. Seiffert M. 34. Frode L. (C) 29. Kopacz D. 20. Deichmann Y. 8. Kanuric B. 9. Beleme D. 31. Kugel J.
Substitutes
40. Berko E. 21. Dietrich T. 8. Kreuzer N. 33. Nietfeld J. 30. Schulze M. (G) 9. Skenderovic M. 5. Vollert J. 37. Wolf M.	19. Cvjetinovic M. 46. Dehler M. (G) 10. Dittgen M. 6. Guwara L. 43. Keidel F. 33. Krupa J. 25. Llugiqi A. 27. Nduka D. 38. Zeitler D.
Coaches
Ristic S.	Kollner M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 1.

Hallescher is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ingolstadt is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hallescher could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ingolstadt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hallescher won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hallescher won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hallescher FC
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hallescher	3:2 ✺
16.12.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Hallescher	2:1 ✺
08.12.23	Hallescher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:2 ✺
28.11.23	Freiburg II - Hallescher	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Hallescher - Saarbrücken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTWL
- FC Ingolstadt 04
Club Friendly
10.01.24	Greuther Fürth - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
19.12.23	Ingolstadt - Erzgebirge Aue	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Ingolstadt - Sandhausen	4:0 ✺
09.12.23	Lübeck - Ingolstadt	0:4 ✺
02.12.23	Waldhof Mannheim - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
19.08.23	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	4:0
06.05.23	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	1:0
08.11.22	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	1:0
27.01.21	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	1:1
26.09.20	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	0:2
08.03.20	Hallescher - Ingolstadt	1:1
15.09.19	Ingolstadt - Hallescher	2:3

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