Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 3

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: BRITA-Arena (Wiesbaden)

Referee: Haslberger W. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Wehen Wiesbaden		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.33
	2.81	3.78	2.46
	2.6	3.4	2.25
	2.69	3.78	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.65	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.52)	3.61 ↑ (3.61)	2.39 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wehen Wiesbaden
34.5%

Draw
26.1%

Karlsruher
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.7%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

25.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wehen Wiesbaden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wehen Wiesbaden's performance.

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlsruher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wehen Wiesbaden than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wehen Wiesbaden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlsruher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.3%	11.5%	46.2%

Wehen Wiesbaden - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Wehen will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Stritzel F. (G) 2. Angha M. 24. Mathisen M. 17. Carstens F. 4. Mockenhaupt S. (C) 7. Heusser R. 6. Fechner G. 29. Gunther L. 20. Lee H. 18. Prtajin I. 30. Froese K.	23. Drewes P. (G) 2. Jung S. 32. Bormuth R. 28. Franke M. 20. Herold D. 18. Brosinski D. 26. Nebel P. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 6. Jensen L. 13. Stindl L. 24. Schleusener F.
Substitutes
13. Amsif M. (G) 9. Goppel T. 19. Jacobsen B. 10. Jonjic A. 21. Kade J. 14. Kovacevic F. 15. Reinthaler M. 27. Rieble N. 26. Vukotic A.	4. Beifus M. 15. Burnic D. 9. Matanovic I. 30. Ozturk E. 31. Rossmann T. 21. Thiede M. 29. Weiss M. (G) 11. Zivzivadze B.
Coaches
Kauczinski M.	Eichner C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wehen won 3.

Wehen is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Karlsruher is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wehen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Karlsruher will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wehen won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Wehen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wehen Wiesbaden
German 2 Bundesliga
04.08.23	Hertha Berlin - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
29.07.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Magdeburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Fortuna Sittard	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Sint-Truidense	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Nordsjælland - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WTWWT
- Karlsruher SC
German DFB Pokal
11.08.23	Saarbrücken - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
06.08.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Osnabrück - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Karlsruher - Liverpool	2:4 ✺
15.07.23	Karlsruher - Balingen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.06.22	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.19	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1
28.07.19	Wehen Wiesbaden - Karlsruher	1:2
German 3 Bundesliga
31.03.19	Wehen Wiesbaden - Karlsruher	2:0
21.10.18	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:5
02.02.18	Wehen Wiesbaden - Karlsruher	1:1
05.08.17	Karlsruher - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:1

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