Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sportschau, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, Onefootball, Sky Sports app


	Karlsruher		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.75	2.6
	2.4	3.75	2.6	Watch
	2.54	3.82	2.67
	2.51	3.77	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.8	2.38
	2.41	3.95	2.58	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 (2.45)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	2.6 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
38.5%

Draw
25%

Hamburger SV
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Karlsruher - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Hamburg will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiss M. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 20. Herold D. 31. Conte B. 7. Burnic D. 17. Rapp N. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 11. Zivzivadze B. 24. Schleusener F.	1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 4. Schonlau S. (C) 28. Muheim M. 8. Elfadli D. 17. Karabec A. 20. Richter M. 18. Jatta B. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 7. Dompe J.
Substitutes
25. Egloff L. 35. Geller R. 5. Heusser R. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 9. Hunziker A. 16. Pfeiffer L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 8. Rupp N. 39. Zengin E.	45. Balde F. 30. Hefti S. 24. Perrin L. 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 19. Raab M. (G) 29. Sahiti E. 27. Selke D. 49. Stange O.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Polzin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Dompe J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽, Wanitzek M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 2, Dompe J. ⚽, Elfadli D. (A),
56', Burnic D. 🟨,
60', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
61', Rapp N. 🟨,
62', Burnic D. ↓, Heusser R. ↑,
67', Jatta B. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
69', Zivzivadze B. 🟨,
72', Elfadli D. 🟨,
72', Conte B. ↓, Hunziker A. ↑,
78', Konigsdorffer R. ↓, Selke D. ↑,
78', Richter M. ↓, Poreba L. ↑,
85', Dompe J. 🟨,
87', Rapp N. ↓, Pfeiffer L. ↑,
87', Beifus M. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Selke D. ⚽, Dompe J. (A),
88', Dompe J. ↓, Sahiti E. ↑,
88', Karabec A. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
90+2', Franke M. 🟨,
90+2', Selke D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 2.

Recent matches Karlsruher is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hamburg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Bormuth R. (Knee Injury) Gunther L. (Groin Injury) Jensen L. (Yellow Cards) Kobald C. (Abdominal strain) Pfeiffer L. (Ankle Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Thigh Injury) Reis L. (Thigh Injury) Zumberi V. (Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:30 (average 1.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:16 (average 1.9:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Greuther Fürth - Karlsruher	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Karlsruher - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Kickers Offenbach - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLW
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hamburger SV - Schalke 04	2:2 ✺
08.11.24	Eintracht Braunschweig - Hamburger SV	3:1 ✺
03.11.24	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Freiburg - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
26.10.24	Elversberg - Hamburger SV	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.01.24	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:4
06.08.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	2:2
12.03.23	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	4:2
03.09.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	1:0
16.04.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:0
German DFB Pokal
02.03.22	Hamburger SV - Karlsruher	3:2 penalties
German 2 Bundesliga
06.11.21	Karlsruher - Hamburger SV	1:1

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