Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Welayta Dicha		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.52	2.68
	3.1	2.44	2.82	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.6
	2.86	2.99	2.6	Watch
	3.2	2.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.39)	2.56 ↓ (2.72)	2.71 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welayta Dicha
30.4%

Draw
35.8%

Ethiopian Medhin
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

33.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

28%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welayta Dicha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopian Medhin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ethiopian Medhin aligns with the current prediction.

Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Welayta Dicha (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Welayta Dicha (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Taffese T. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Kekaleb B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', (Penalty Awarded),
66', 1 - 2, Mulugeta B. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 2.

In recent matches, Welayta Dicha has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopian Medhin has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Welayta Dicha	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
03.01.26	Saint George - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
24.12.25	Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Sheger Ketema	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLWT
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
05.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Sidama Coffee	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethio Electric	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
01.03.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1
11.01.25	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	1:2
17.03.24	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	2:2
19.10.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:1
16.04.23	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	2:2
21.10.22	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin	0:1

Welayta Dicha - Ethiopian Medhin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide