Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday


	Welayta Dicha		Arba Minch

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.72	2.82
	2.35	2.67	3.49	Watch
	2.7	2.63	2.7
	2.81	2.91	2.7	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.22)	2.77 ↓ (2.81)	2.87 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welayta Dicha
34.8%

Draw
33.2%

Arba Minch
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

30.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welayta Dicha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welayta Dicha's form might have worsened.

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welayta Dicha than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Welayta Dicha, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arba Minch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 1.

Recent performances by Welayta Dicha have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arba Minch is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Welayta Dicha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Welayta Dicha won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 0.6:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Welayta Dicha won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welayta Dicha
Ethiopian Premier League
24.12.25	Hadiya Hossana - Welayta Dicha	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Sheger Ketema	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Welayta Dicha - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Welayta Dicha	1:1 ✺
25.11.25	Welayta Dicha - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTTW
- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
24.12.25	Arba Minch - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Arba Minch	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arba Minch - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
02.12.25	Saint George - Arba Minch	1:0 ✺
27.11.25	Hadiya Hossana - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
07.05.25	Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch	2:1
23.01.25	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	2:1
15.05.23	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	0:0
24.11.22	Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch	0:0
22.05.22	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	0:0
31.01.22	Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch	1:0
11.06.18	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	0:0

Welayta Dicha - Arba Minch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide