Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Canvey Island

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.98
	2.19	3.6	2.85
	2.49	2.68	3.20	Watch
	2.23	3.55	2.94
	1.87	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.82)	3.4 ↓ (3.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Welling United
42.8%

Draw
27.3%

Canvey Island
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.7%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

20.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Welling United's form might have worsened.

Canvey Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canvey Island than the current prediction. (+1%)

Welling United - Canvey Island Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Hambury Z. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Cundle G. ⚽,
69', 3 - 0, Dobbs L. ⚽,
74', 4 - 0, Paxman Jack ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, Fiddes M. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Welling has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Canvey Island has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Canvey Island may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Welling will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Slough Town - Welling United	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Welling United - Slough Town	1:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.09.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Welling United	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Welling United - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Chichester City - Welling United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTLLW
- Canvey Island
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.09.25	Brentwood Town - Canvey Island	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Dartford - Canvey Island	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Canvey Island - Aveley	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	Dulwich Hamlet - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLLL

Upcoming Matches