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Current Win Probability
Brisbane Roar 45.8%
Draw 27%
Wellington Phoenix 27.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
26%
24.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
25.4%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brisbane Roar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
Brisbane Roar - Wellington Phoenix Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wellington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 3. Valkanis D. 5. Lode M. 23. McGarry J. 13. Hore H. 26. O'Shea J. (C) 8. Klein S. 10. Vrakas G. 19. Ruhs M. 17. Vidic J.
1. Oluwayemi J. (G) 6. Payne T. 28. Tuiloma B. 15. Hughes I. 12. Edwards D. 20. Najjarine R. 8. Retre P. 14. Rufer A. (C) 25. Nagasawa K. 3. Piper C. 7. Eze I.
Substitutes
7. Brazete J. 16. Dench M. 11. Freke M. (G) 44. Lauton J. 6. Ludwik A. 30. MacNicol Q. 39. Thom N.
11. Armiento C. 29. Brooke-Smith L. 4. James M. 16. Kartum S. 30. Kelly-Heald A. (G) 18. Kelly-Heald L. 27. Sheridan M.
Coaches
Valkanis M.
Greenacre C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, McGarry J. ⚽,
25', Klein S. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Piper C. ⚽, Hughes I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Valkanis D. 🟨,
55', Vidic J. 🟨,
62', Tuiloma B. ↓, James M. ↑,
68', Vrakas G. 🟨,
73', Vrakas G. ↓, Dench M. ↑,
73', Vidic J. ↓, Thom N. ↑,
77', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
77', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
80', Ruhs M. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
84', Hore H. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
85', Edwards D. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
85', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Eze I. ⚽, Brooke-Smith L. (A),
89', Brooke-Smith L. 🟨,
90+1', Rufer A. 🟨,
90+4', Hughes I. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 10)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 1.
Brisbane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Wellington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Maieroni N.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wellington: Tuiloma B.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
Australia
New-zealand
United-kingdom
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Bouzanis D. (G) 
Salas Y. 
Lode M. 
McGarry J. 
O'Shea J. (C) 
Vrakas G. 
Oluwayemi J. (G) 
Najjarine R. 
Nagasawa K. 
James M. 
Greenacre C. 
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