Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Ethiopia Nigd Bank

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.72	2.35
	3.25	2.85	2.49
	3.36	2.67	2.41	Watch
	3.2	2.5	2.3
	3.26	2.73	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.95)	2.69 ↓ (2.92)	2.38 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
28%

Draw
33.7%

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

31.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Gebremedhin N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, Solomon F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Welwalo Adigrat has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ethiopia Nigd Bank might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.36%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.04.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
09.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLTWT
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
14.04.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sidama Coffee	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
09.03.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
06.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2
06.05.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2
06.11.24	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2

Upcoming Matches