The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dire Dawa City 28.8%
Draw 34.1%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.5%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
28.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dire Dawa City's form might have worsened.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ethiopia Nigd Bank's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dire Dawa City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Dire Dawa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Ethiopia Nigd Bank will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Gidey A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Nassir M. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Daniel N. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Dire Dawa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
38
11
14
13
45:45
0
47
18
Dire Dawa
38
9
15
14
27:41
-14
42
Last Results with these Odds
Dire Dawa City - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.49%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.