Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Welwalo Adigrat		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.62	2.92
	2.54	2.68	3.14
	2.5	2.5	2.9
	2.45	2.92	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.5)	2.68 ↓ (2.85)	3.02 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welwalo Adigrat
36.1%

Draw
33.9%

Dire Dawa City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Welwalo Adigrat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dire Dawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Welwalo Adigrat has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Welwalo Adigrat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Welwalo Adigrat won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sidama Coffee - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWWTT
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
09.03.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Arba Minch - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.11.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:1
03.06.25	Dire Dawa City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:3
03.02.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:1

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