Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Ethio Electric		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.62	3.1
	2.65	2.51	3.04
	2.54	2.56	3.3	Watch
	2.7	2.38	3
	2.46	2.65	3.16
	2.9	2.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)	3.02 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethio Electric
34.7%

Draw
35.3%

Fasil Kenema
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

33.2%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

34.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fasil Kenema might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
59', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 6).

Ethio Electric is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fasil Kenema has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethio Electric won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethio Electric won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Ethio Electric	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethio Electric SC
Ethiopian Premier League
05.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
29.04.26	Ethio Electric - Mechal	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Saint George - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTWL
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
06.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Fasil Kenema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:3 ✺
14.04.26	Welayta Dicha - Fasil Kenema	0:1 ✺
09.04.26	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
29.12.25	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	1:0
10.06.25	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	0:1
05.11.24	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:3
30.06.23	Ethio Electric - Fasil Kenema	1:2
17.02.23	Fasil Kenema - Ethio Electric	2:1

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