Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Bahir Dar Kenema		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.62	3.55
	2.32	2.53	3.78
	2.56	2.28	3.88	Watch
	2.25	2.5	3.4
	2.09	3	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	2.59 ↓ (2.86)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahir Dar Kenema
39.9%

Draw
35.4%

Welwalo Adigrat
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

32.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bahir Dar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahir Dar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Bahir Dar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Bahir Dar Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Welwalo Adigrat - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 24.76%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
06.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTLTW
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
18.04.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
29.12.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0
25.06.25	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	3:0
21.09.24	Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1
17.01.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0

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