Match Info

CHINA: YI LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday


	Wenzhou Professional		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.5
	5.77	3.57	1.53
	6	3.5	1.47
	5.8	3.84	1.53
	6	3.75	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.81 ↑ (2.97)	3.68 ↑ (2.86)	1.51 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wenzhou Professional
15.5%

Draw
24.5%

Yunnan Yukun
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wenzhou Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wenzhou Professional's form might have worsened.

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yunnan Yukun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wenzhou Professional than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wenzhou Professional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yunnan Yukun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Wenzhou Professional - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wenzhou will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jiangxi Dark Horse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wenzhou Professional
Chinese Yi League
23.07.23	Wenzhou Professional - Quanzhou Yassin	1:0 ✺
16.07.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wenzhou Professional	3:1 ✺
09.07.23	Wenzhou Professional - Guangxi Lanhang	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Kunming City - Wenzhou Professional	0:3 ✺
25.06.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Wenzhou Professional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLWL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Yi League
23.07.23	Yunnan Yukun - Guangxi Lanhang	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Shaoxing Shangyu Pterosaur - Yunnan Yukun	1:6 ✺
09.07.23	Quanzhou Yassin - Yunnan Yukun	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
27.06.23	Hunan Billows - Yunnan Yukun	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
11.06.23	Yunnan Yukun - Wenzhou Professional	2:0

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