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Current Win Probability
Yunnan Yukun 53%
Draw 23.6%
Chongqing Tongliang Long 23.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.2%
22%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.7%
21%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 33. Burca A. 2. Hu Ruibao 21. Yang Zihao 10. Ionita II A. (C) 8. Xu Xin 34. Caio Vinicius 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 9. Cleber 11. Taty Maritu O.
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 37. Wei Suowei 4. Yue Ruijie 33. Lucao 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 10. Amadou I. 16. Zhang Zhixiong 18. Liang Weipeng 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.
Substitutes
1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 22. Duan Liuyu 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 30. Saeter J. 5. Shi Ke 17. Sun Xuelong 7. Ye Chugui 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 6. Zhao Yuhao
15. Chen Chunxin 19. Du Yuezheng 6. Jin Pengxiang 21. Liu Jiale 24. Liu Mingshi 17. Ng Yu-Hei 38. Ruan Qilong 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Vinyals J.
Liu Jianye
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Cleber ⚽, Caio Vinicius (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Liang Weipeng ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
53', He Xiaoqiang ↓, Liu Mingshi ↑,
55', Caio Vinicius 🟨,
72', Yang Zihao ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
76', Wei Suowei ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
76', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Cimpanu G. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Dimata L. ↓, Ruan Qilong ↑,
86', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Saeter J. ↑,
87', Xu Xin ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th and 9th).
In recent outings, Yunnan Yukun has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chongqing is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
In this matchup, Yunnan Yukun is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yunnan Yukun against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals (averaging 0.7:0.3 per game).