Match Info

FA Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Yunnan Yukun		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.70	3.90
	1.72	3.8	4
	1.8	3.93	4.05
	1.77	3.92	4.01	Watch
	1.74	3.85	3.95
	1.77	3.8	4.09
	1.81	3.6	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.93)	3.8 ↑ (3.35)	3.96 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
52.4%

Draw
24.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

26%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

24.2%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chongqing Tongliang Long might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wang Zhifeng (C) 3. Tsui Wang-Kit 18. Yi Teng 33. Burca A. 19. Huang Zichang 10. Ionita II A. 8. Xu Xin 34. Caio Vinicius 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 30. Saeter J. 11. Taty Maritu O.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 4. Yue Ruijie 26. He Xiaoqiang 9. Cimpanu G. 16. Zhang Zhixiong 8. Li Zhenquan (C) 17. Ng Yu-Hei 11. Dimata L.
Substitutes
1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 9. Cleber 25. Deng Hanwen 22. Duan Liuyu 36. Fei Ernanduo 27. Han Zilong 2. Hu Ruibao 5. Shi Ke 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 6. Zhao Yuhao	10. Amadou I. 15. Chen Chunxin 19. Du Yuezheng 6. Jin Pengxiang 18. Liang Weipeng 21. Liu Jiale 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 7. Xiang Yuwang 25. Yerzat Yerjet (G) 3. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Vinyals J.	Liu Jianye

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Zhang Zhixiong 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yue Ruijie ↓, Amadou I. ↑,
53', Ng Yu-Hei ↓, Wu Yongqiang ↑,
53', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Xiang Yuwang ↑,
61', Huang Zichang 🟨,
62', Xu Xin ↓, Cleber ↑,
72', Huang Zichang ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
72', Saeter J. ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Ionita II A. ⚽,
78', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
78', Liu Mingshi ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
87', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
87', Ionita II A. ↓, Hu Ruibao ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Yunnan Yukun have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chongqing's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Yunnan Yukun is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
29.08.26	Zhejiang Professional - Yunnan Yukun	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun	3:3 ✺
15.08.26	Yunnan Yukun - Dalian Young Boy	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LTWWL
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Super League
29.08.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.05.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	0:0
Chinese Jia League
15.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	3:2
27.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1
Chinese Yi League
02.07.23	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0

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