Match Info

ARMENIA: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Junior Sport Stadium (Yerevan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	West Armenia		Alashkert

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.95	3.56	1.88
	3.82	3.53	1.84	Watch
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.48	3.48	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.68)	3.44 ↑ (3.1)	1.88 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

West Armenia
25.1%

Draw
26.5%

Alashkert
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

29.1%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

27.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

West Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Armenia's form might have worsened.

Alashkert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alashkert's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Armenia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Armenia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alashkert than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alashkert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

West Armenia - Alashkert Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. West Armenia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Alashkert will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Dragojevic A. (G) 17. Ayunts T. 2. Danielyan A. 7. Drame H. 6. Granado J. 22. Junior A. 8. Kocharyan A. 36. Makhsudyan V. 25. Rudoselskiy T. 5. Sargsyan A. 11. Tarasenko Z.	22. Manukyan G. (G) 23. Avetisyan P. 11. Glisic A. 88. Hovhannisyan A. 9. Hovhannisyan B. 5. Hovsepyan R. 15. Khachatryan A. 4. Manucharyan A. 2. Martirosyan Y. 55. Metoyan S. 19. Musakhanyan H.
Substitutes
3. Asatryan A. 14. Aventisyan A. 80. Chimezie S. V. 9. Israelyan A. 1. Lyansberg E. (G) 32. Paschal N. 10. Sargsyan T. 4. Smbatyan E. 99. Traore I. J. 18. Yeghiazaryan A.	8. Bangura C. 95. Diaz B. 16. Galstyan A. 7. Hayrapetyan V. 99. Hovhannisyan N. 70. Katoh H. 20. Manukyan N. 21. Minasyan V. 94. Patsatsia V. 98. Rosa M. 17. Sanogo Z. 71. Vimercati V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', Musakhanyan H. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Tarasenko Z. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hovhannisyan A. ↓, Patsatsia V. ↑,
46', Avetisyan P. ↓, Rosa M. ↑,
46', Khachatryan A. ↓, Minasyan V. ↑,
46', Ayunts T. ↓, Chimezie S. V. ↑,
46', Junior A. ↓, Aventisyan A. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Tarasenko Z. ⚽, Drame H. (A),
67', Kocharyan A. ↓, Israelyan A. ↑,
67', Glisic A. ↓, Katoh H. ↑,
71', Hovsepyan R. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
78', Danielyan A. ↓, Smbatyan E. ↑,
83', Makhsudyan V. ↓, Yeghiazaryan A. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC West Armenia
Armenian Premier League
27.10.24	Gandzasar - West Armenia	0:1 ✺
21.10.24	West Armenia - Urartu Yerevan	2:2 ✺
17.10.24	Shirak Gyumri - West Armenia	2:0 ✺
07.10.24	West Armenia - Gandzasar	2:0 ✺
Armenian Cup
02.10.24	West Armenia - Syunik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWW
- Alashkert FC
Armenian Premier League
27.10.24	Alashkert - BKMA Yerevan	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Gandzasar - Alashkert	0:1 ✺
16.10.24	Alashkert - Noah Yerevan	0:6 ✺
07.10.24	BKMA Yerevan - Alashkert	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Alashkert - West Armenia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
28.09.24	Alashkert - West Armenia	0:2
18.04.24	Alashkert - West Armenia	1:2
10.12.23	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:1
04.10.23	Alashkert - West Armenia	2:0
07.08.23	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:4
Armenian Cup
05.10.22	West Armenia - Alashkert	1:4

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