The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
West Armenia 9.3%
Draw 16.6%
Urartu Yerevan 74.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.1%
20.8%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.4%
19.9%
67.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Armenia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Armenia's form might have worsened.
Urartu Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Urartu Yerevan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Armenia than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Armenia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Urartu Yerevan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
West Armenia - Urartu Yerevan Predictions
Users Predictions:
Urartu Yerevan will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Dragojevic A. (G) 14. Aventisyan A. 17. Ayunts T. 80. Chimezie S. V. 2. Danielyan A. 6. Granado J. 77. Grigoryan M. 33. Kartashyan A. 5. Sargsyan A. 10. Sargsyan T. 4. Smbatyan E.
42. Melikhov A. (G) 34. Abou A. 6. Gilmore L. 85. Ignatjev I. 16. Isaac B. 18. Kilin A. 88. Margaryan Z. 77. Movsesyan E. 5. Putsko A. 9. Sabua L. 55. Simonyan E.
Substitutes
3. Asatryan A. 7. Drame H. 22. Junior A. 8. Kocharyan A. 1. Lyansberg E. (G) 36. Makhsudyan V. 32. Paschal N. 25. Rudoselskiy T. 11. Tarasenko Z. 99. Traore D. 18. Yeghiazaryan A.
8. Aghasaryan N. 99. Ayvazyan K. 4. Ghazaryan A. 21. Kravchuk A. 1. Matinyan G. (G) 19. Melikyan A. 10. Melkonyan K. 92. Mishiev A. (G) 3. Piloyan E. 90. Polyakov O. 14. Polyarus A. 11. Tarakhchyan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Sargsyan A. (Own goal),
33', Abou A. 🟨,
45+1', Ayunts T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Abou A. ↓, Aghasaryan N. ↑,
46', Sargsyan T. ↓, Drame H. ↑,
52', Isaac B. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Ayunts T. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, Drame H. ⚽,
72', Isaac B. ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
72', Smbatyan E. ↓, Yeghiazaryan A. ↑,
76', Sargsyan A. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
84', Kilin A. ↓, Kravchuk A. ↑,
87', Chimezie S. V. ↓, Asatryan A. ↑,
90+2', Aventisyan A. ↓, Paschal N. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Ignatjev I. ⚽, Kravchuk A. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Recent matches West Armenia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Urartu is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
West Armenia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Urartu is certain favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches West Armenia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:8 (average 2:2).
Including matches at home between the teams West Armenia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
Armenia
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Dragojevic A. (G) 
Aventisyan A. 
Chimezie S. V. 
Granado J. 
Melikhov A. (G) 
Abou A. 
Drame H. 
Junior A. 
Rudoselskiy T. 
Kravchuk A. 
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