The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
West Ham United U21 61.9%
Draw 17.6%
Derby County U21 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.8%
15.1%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.3%
14.4%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
West Ham United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that West Ham United U21's form might have worsened.
Derby County U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for West Ham United U21 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for West Ham United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
West Ham United U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Terry M. (G) 5. Tarima S. 6. Casey K. (C) 3. Luizao 2. Robinson J. 4. Orford L. 8. Battrum R. 11. Clayton R. 7. Moore S. 9. Swyer K. 10. Earthy G.
1. Thompson J. (G) 2. Osayande A. 5. Radcliffe B. 6. Cox D. 3. Gill T. 7. Nto E. 4. Robinson D. (C) 8. Stepien-Iwumene A. 11. Moloney R. 9. Wheeldon L. 10. Weston T.
Substitutes
16. Ajala J. 12. Briggs J. 13. Herrick F. (G) 14. Mayers E. 15. Rigge D.
14. Allen C. 12. Hawkins H. 15. McAndrew N. 16. Perry J. 13. Price H.
Coaches
Potts S.
Buxton J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Robinson J. ⚽, Earthy G. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Wheeldon L. ⚽, Weston T. (A),
18', Luizao ↓, Mayers E. ↑,
35', Robinson J. 🟨,
44', Robinson D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', Cox D. 🟨,
63', Robinson D. 🟨,
63', Moloney R. ↓, Hawkins H. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Swyer K. ⚽, Clayton R. (A),
67', Radcliffe B. ↓, Perry J. ↑,
74', Stepien-Iwumene A. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
74', Nto E. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Moore S. ⚽, Swyer K. (A),
79', Battrum R. ↓, Rigge D. ↑,
85', Gill T. 🟨,
88', McAndrew N. 🟨,
90+1', Clayton R. ↓, Briggs J. ↑,
90+2', Moore S. ↓, Ajala J. ↑,
90+13', 3 - 2, McAndrew N. ⚽,
Preview
West Ham U21 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Derby U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match West Ham U21 is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches West Ham U21 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.
Including matches at home between the teams West Ham U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.