Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	Westerlo		Eupen

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4.33
	1.75	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.83
	1.75	3.86	4.83
	1.8	3.8	3.7
	1.74	3.92	4.3	Watch
	1.76	3.9	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.8)	3.84 ↓ (3.91)	4.4 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Westerlo
53.9%

Draw
24.6%

Eupen
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

24.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

23.8%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Westerlo - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Eupen will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bolat S. (C) 22. Reynolds B. 40. Bayram E. 33. Neustadter R. 5. Bos J. 15. Sydorchuk S. 46. Piedfort A. 18. Yow G. 8. Madsen N. 89. Chadli N. 14. Vaesen K.	24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. (C) 21. Kral J. 15. Magnee G. 8. Mohwald K. 6. Baiye B. 18. Keita A. 3. Davidson J. 27. Finnbogason A. 7. Nuhu I.
Substitutes
21. Daci E. 9. Frigan M. 20. Gillekens N. (G) 3. Haidara B. 6. Haspolat D. 25. Rommens T. 39. Van den Keybus T. 7. Van Eenoo L.	11. Bitumazala N. 10. Charles-Cook R. 23. Christie-Davies I. 14. Deom J. 25. Filin A. 99. Roufosse T. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Kohfeldt F.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Westerlo won 2.

Recent matches Westerlo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eupen is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Westerlo is a favorite.

There will not play in Westerlo: Alcocer J. (Injury) El Hari I. (Knock)

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Lambert B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Westerlo won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Westerlo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KVC Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.12.23	Kortrijk - Westerlo	1:2 ✺
01.12.23	Westerlo - Anderlecht	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Charleroi - Westerlo	3:2 ✺
10.11.23	Westerlo - Sint-Truidense	3:3 ✺
04.11.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTW
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.12.23	Eupen - Genk	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Eupen - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cercle Brugge - Eupen	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Eupen - RWDM Brussels	1:3 ✺
03.11.23	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.07.23	Eupen - Westerlo	2:2
04.02.23	Eupen - Westerlo	1:1
28.08.22	Westerlo - Eupen	0:1
27.04.19	Westerlo - Eupen	1:0
03.04.19	Eupen - Westerlo	0:3
26.11.16	Eupen - Westerlo	3:3
13.08.16	Westerlo - Eupen	1:2

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