Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 29

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Wanderers Football Park (Sydney)


	Western Sydney Wanderers U23		St George Saints

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.4
	2.25	3.6	2.58
	2.16	3.9	2.84
	2.15	3.79	2.89	Watch
	2.4	3.6	2.45
	2.18	3.84	2.86	Watch
	2.93	3.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.95)	3.73 ↓ (3.75)	2.58 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Sydney Wanderers U23
39.3%

Draw
24.8%

St George Saints
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

24.2%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

23.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western Sydney Wanderers U23's performance.

St George Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St George Saints might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers U23 than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Sydney Wanderers U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St George Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St George Saints Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Western Sydney U23 (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Western Sydney U23 (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Hammond A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
85', 2 - 0, Arrarte T. ⚽,
89', 3 - 0, Pavlovic J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Sydney Wanderers U23
Australian NPL NSW
17.08.25	Blacktown City - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St. George City	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - Rockdale Ilinden	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Manly United - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sydney FC U23 - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTTLW
- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
19.08.25	St George Saints - North West Sydney Spirit	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Sydney FC U23 - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Sydney United - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
27.07.25	St George Saints - Blacktown City	3:2 ✺
20.07.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
09.05.25	St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	0:3
06.07.24	St George Saints - Western Sydney Wanderers U23	2:2

Western Sydney Wanderers U23 - St George Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide