Match Info

AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 10

Date: 3 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Rattray B. (Nzl)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong Kong	16:00	HOY TV
New Zealand	21:00	Sky Sport 4
United Kingdom	08:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	03:00	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.7	2.85
	1.99	3.75	3
	2.05	3.87	3.13	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3
	1.97	3.72	3.09	Watch
	1.99	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.62)	3.72 ↓ (4.12)	3.01 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
45.2%

Draw
24.5%

Newcastle Jets
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

21.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western United - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 24. Sardo J. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 8. Grove S. 2. Roach E. 16. Taranto M. 5. Medwin A. 6. Logarzo C. (C) 34. Zimmerman C. 10. Johnson K.	30. Robertson T. (G) 17. Gallagher S. 4. Prior N. 3. Cicco C. 2. Wilson J. 18. Hoban S. 6. Davis C. (C) 11. Jackson D. 22. Baumann L. 13. Allan L. 10. Copus-Brown L.
Substitutes
7. De Domizio K. 28. Dehakiz I. 11. Ibarguen S. 36. Lincoln C. (G) 15. Taranto A.	32. Adams C. 26. Allan J. 50. Boertje A. (G) 7. Breier I. 27. Walandouw C.
Coaches
Smith K.	Campbell R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Johnson K. ⚽,
65', Medwin A. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
65', Roach E. ↓, Dehakiz I. ↑,
69', Gallagher S. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
77', Allan L. ↓, Breier I. ↑,
78', 2 - 0, Johnson K. ⚽, De Domizio K. (A),
79', Zimmerman C. ↓, Taranto A. ↑,
86', Wilson J. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
90', Prior N. 🟥,
90+2', Logarzo C. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
90+4', Baumann L. 🟨,
90+4', Taranto A. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
29.12.24	Western United - Brisbane Roar	2:8 ✺
22.12.24	Central Coast Mariners - Western United	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Western United - Sydney FC	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWT
- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
29.12.24	Canberra United - Newcastle Jets	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Newcastle Jets - Brisbane Roar	1:6 ✺
14.12.24	Sydney FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
23.11.24	Newcastle Jets - Western United	1:1
13.04.24	Western United - Newcastle Jets	2:4 ET
17.03.24	Western United - Newcastle Jets	1:3
17.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	5:2
26.02.23	Newcastle Jets - Western United	0:6
08.02.23	Western United - Newcastle Jets	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
01.11.26	Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets	✺

Western United - Newcastle Jets