Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 14

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Eltham Redbacks		Melbourne Victory Youth

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.6	2.3
	2.68	3.94	2.13
	2.63	4.03	2.18	Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.25
	2.42	3.64	2.35
	2.38	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.38)	3.68 ↑ (3.35)	2.28 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltham Redbacks
35.9%

Draw
24.5%

Melbourne Victory Youth
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.5%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltham Redbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Melbourne Victory Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Victory Youth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, ⚽,
63', 2 - 3, ⚽,
67', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Victory Youth has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eltham Redbacks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
15.05.26	Melbourne Knights - Eltham Redbacks	4:0 ✺
08.05.26	Eltham Redbacks - Port Melbourne Sharks	8:0 ✺
02.05.26	Manningham United - Eltham Redbacks	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW
- Melbourne Victory Youth
Australian Victoria Premier League
16.05.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:3 ✺
11.05.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Manningham United	4:0 ✺
01.05.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Melbourne Srbija - Melbourne Victory Youth	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Melbourne Victory Youth	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
16.02.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Eltham Redbacks	2:1

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Victory Youth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide