Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Northern NSW - Round 20

Date: 28 July 2024, Sunday


	Weston Workers Bears		Adamstown Rosebud

	1	X	2
	1.14	7.5	12	Watch
	1.14	8.5	13
	1.12	7.5	13	Watch
	1.13	9.55	13.4
	1.14	7.99	12.18	Watch
	1.1	7.5	15
	1.12	7.6	14.6	Watch
	1.14	7.2	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↓ (2.3)	7.92 ↑ (3.75)	13.15 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston Workers Bears
81.4%

Draw
11.6%

Adamstown Rosebud
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

23.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston Workers Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+41.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weston Workers Bears's performance.

Adamstown Rosebud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adamstown Rosebud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston Workers Bears than the current prediction. (-41.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weston Workers Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (+28.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adamstown Rosebud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Buswell C. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Bailey J. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Hatfield C. ⚽,
40', 4 - 0, Bailey J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 5 - 0, Archbold B. ⚽,
71', 6 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston Workers Bears
Australian NPL Northern NSW
14.07.24	Weston Workers Bears - New Lambton	3:0 ✺
07.07.24	Weston Workers Bears - Valentine Phoenix	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Broadmeadow Magic - Weston Workers Bears	5:0 ✺
16.06.24	Weston Workers Bears - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
25.05.24	Maitland - Weston Workers Bears	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW
- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
13.07.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Edgeworth Eagles	0:4 ✺
06.07.24	Cooks Hill United - Adamstown Rosebud	6:0 ✺
03.07.24	New Lambton - Adamstown Rosebud	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Lake Macquarie City	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Maitland	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.04.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	0:2
15.07.23	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2
25.04.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	2:2
26.06.22	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1
04.05.22	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	0:1
26.06.21	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Workers Bears	1:1
10.04.21	Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud	2:0

Weston Workers Bears - Adamstown Rosebud: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide