Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Weston-super-Mare		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.35	2.58
	2.35	3.4	2.74
	2.39	3.53	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.75
	2.33	3.22	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.39)	3.34 ↓ (3.46)	2.7 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weston-super-Mare
38.6%

Draw
27.5%

Dorking Wanderers
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.4%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.9%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Weston super Mare - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Vincent F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Spokes L. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Weston-super-Mare is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dorking's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorking may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17
9	Dorking	10	4	4	2	22:16	6	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
18.04.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Weston-super-Mare	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Weston-super-Mare - Horsham	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Weston-super-Mare - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Weston-super-Mare - Torquay United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
18.04.26	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Totton - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dorking Wanderers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
16.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	3:2
18.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	1:3
21.09.24	Weston-super-Mare - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Dorking Wanderers - Weston-super-Mare	1:0

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