Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Salisbury		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.3	2.28
	3.08	3.36	2.26
	3.01	3.44	2.24	Watch
	3	3.1	2.25
	2.98	3.2	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.85)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	2.25 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
30.9%

Draw
28.1%

Weston-super-Mare
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Salisbury - Weston super Mare Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Avery S. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Backwell T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 2, Coppin N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Weston-super-Mare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Weston-super-Mare: 4.6% Salisbury: 4.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Salisbury	10	5	3	2	18:7	11	18
6	Weston-super-Mare	10	5	2	3	18:10	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.58%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.73%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
03.04.26	Totton - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Salisbury - Dover Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Salisbury - Enfield Town	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Slough Town - Salisbury	3:3 ✺
10.03.26	Torquay United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWTL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
03.04.26	Weston-super-Mare - Torquay United	0:3 ✺
31.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Maidenhead United - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Ebbsfleet United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.12.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:0
11.02.25	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:2
22.10.24	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	0:2
English Southern League South Division
22.04.23	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	1:1
05.11.22	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	3:1
22.01.22	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	0:0
16.10.21	Weston-super-Mare - Salisbury	1:3

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