Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Weszło		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.90	4.75
	1.52	3.80	4.70
	1.59	3.85	4.47
	1.52	4.2	5.14	Watch
	1.57	3.80	4.40
	1.61	4.49	4.25	Watch
	1.5	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.03 ↓ (4.2)	4.6 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weszło
58.1%

Draw
22.3%

Olimpia Elbląg
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

21.1%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

19.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weszło has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weszło than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weszło, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Weszło - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kircun M. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, Firlej M. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Kozdryk J. ⚽,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ Division 2 and 13th).

Weszło arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Elbląg is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Weszło may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Weszło holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Our forecast points to a victory for Weszło in today's match, at odds of 1.33.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Weszlo	11	8	2	1	24:10	14	26
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTS Weszło
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
23.08.26	Weszło - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:0 ✺
19.08.26	ŁKS Łódź II - Weszło	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
22.08.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Elbląg	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Widzew Łódź II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTL

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