Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 11

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Weszło		Olimpia Zambrów

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	4.75
	1.55	4.05	4.4
	1.68	4.3	4.5
	1.59	4.23	4.44	Watch
	1.66	3.7	3.85
	1.64	4.3	4.2	Watch
	1.3	4.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.3)	4.24 ↓ (4.8)	4.66 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weszło
58.8%

Draw
21.6%

Olimpia Zambrów
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

18.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

17.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weszło has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Weszło's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Zambrów's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weszło than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weszło, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Zambrów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Weszło - Olimpia Zambrów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Mensah L. K. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Jakimiuk J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 0 - 3, Kempski M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 3, Winiarski D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Division 2 and 13th).

Weszło has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zambrów has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

The betting markets point to Weszło as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Our forecast points to a victory for Weszło in today's match, at odds of 1.32.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Weszlo	11	8	2	1	24:10	14	26
11	Zambrow	11	4	2	5	23:27	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTS Weszło
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Weszło	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Weszło - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Weszło	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Weszło - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Troszyn - Weszło	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWT
- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Pelikan Łowicz	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Zambrów	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Widzew Łódź II	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTTLL

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