Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Olimpia Zambrów		Wigry Suwałki

	1	X	2
	3.80	3.75	1.68
	3.80	3.65	1.70
	3.46	3.61	1.83
	3.92	3.88	1.73	Watch
	3.40	3.55	1.80
	3.76	3.97	1.78	Watch
	4.1	3.77	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (3.98)	3.74 ↑ (3.61)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Zambrów
24%

Draw
24.1%

Wigry Suwałki
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.5%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.8%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Zambrów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Zambrów than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Olimpia Zambrów - Wigry Suwałki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Bajdur M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Jakimiuk J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).

Recent form of Zambrów has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wigry's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zambrów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Wigry is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zambrów won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Zambrów won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwalki	11	6	4	1	19:10	9	22
11	Zambrow	11	4	2	5	23:27	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Zambrów
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.09.26	Mazovia Mińsk Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	5:0 ✺
30.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Widzew Łódź II	3:4 ✺
15.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Olimpia Elbląg	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Olimpia Zambrów	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Olimpia Zambrów - Ząbkovia Ząbki	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLLLW
- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
06.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:3 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:5 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.20	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Zambrów	5:1
17.07.19	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Zambrów	0:2
Polish Division 2 - East
27.04.14	Olimpia Zambrów - Wigry Suwałki	1:0

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