Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Enfield Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.6
	1.93	3.46	3.85
	1.95	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.33)	3.39 ↓ (3.41)	3.68 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
48.1%

Draw
27%

Enfield Town
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.7%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Weymouth's performance.

Enfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Enfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Weymouth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Enfield Town than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Enfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Weymouth - Enfield Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', Benjamin X. 🟥,
77', Bearwish T. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Youngs S. (Pen),
90+4', 1 - 1, McCarthy J. (Pen),

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Weymouth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Enfield is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Enfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Weymouth is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Enfield Town - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.11%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
21.01.25	Weymouth - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Worthing - Weymouth	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers	2:3 ✺
07.01.25	Welling United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Enfield Town
English National League South
18.01.25	Enfield Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Maidstone United - Enfield Town	4:0 ✺
04.01.25	Enfield Town - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
01.01.25	St Albans City - Enfield Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Enfield Town - Boreham Wood	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.10.24	Enfield Town - Weymouth	1:0

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