Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday


	Worthing		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.5	4.33	5.5
	1.53	4.15	5.83	Watch
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	4.3	5.74
	1.5	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.45)	4.17 ↑ (3.7)	5.64 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
61.7%

Draw
22%

Weymouth
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

24.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

22.7%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Worthing - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Weymouth will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Babalola T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worthing won 3.

Worthing is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Worthing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Worthing have a series of home games.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Worthing won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:7 (average 2.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Worthing won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Worthing - Torquay United	5:1 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Worthing - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Worthing - St Albans City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWT
- Weymouth
English National League South
11.01.25	Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers	2:3 ✺
07.01.25	Welling United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Salisbury - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
21.09.24	Weymouth - Worthing	1:1
17.02.24	Weymouth - Worthing	1:4
28.08.23	Worthing - Weymouth	2:0
13.12.22	Worthing - Weymouth	1:3
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Worthing - Weymouth	4:2
English National League South
16.08.22	Weymouth - Worthing	0:3

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