Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 26

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday


	Weymouth		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.63
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.68	3.71	1.72	Watch
	4.6	3.6	1.7
	4.51	3.68	1.7
	4.5	3.75	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↓ (5.08)	3.68 ↓ (3.95)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
20.4%

Draw
25.1%

Dorking Wanderers
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.4%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

23%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
18', 1 - 0, Greenwood B. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Prior J. ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, Camp B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 2, Brooks C. ⚽,
74', 2 - 3, Murphy R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Weymouth is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorking is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dorking is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
07.01.25	Welling United - Weymouth	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Salisbury - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLTTT
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
04.01.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Chesham United - Dorking Wanderers	0:5 ✺
14.12.24	Chippenham Town - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Dorking Wanderers - Truro City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.09.24	Dorking Wanderers - Weymouth	1:2
25.07.20	Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers	3:2
25.01.20	Weymouth - Dorking Wanderers	2:1
07.12.19	Dorking Wanderers - Weymouth	1:0

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