Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 11

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Welling United		Weymouth

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.27	3.25	2.69
	2.26	3.09	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.18	3.16	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)	3.09 ↓ (3.35)	3.23 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
42%

Draw
29.7%

Weymouth
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.6%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Welling United - Weymouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Weymouth will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Di Trolio R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 0, Walker Z. ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Thompson J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 0.

Welling has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Weymouth is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Weymouth to win the game is with odds 2.66.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Welling won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:12 (average 0.6:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
01.01.25	Maidstone United - Welling United	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Welling United - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Salisbury - Welling United	3:1 ✺
14.12.24	Welling United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
29.11.24	Aveley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWT
- Weymouth
English FA Trophy
04.01.25	Weymouth - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
English National League South
01.01.25	Salisbury - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.24	Weymouth - Torquay United	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Chelmsford City - Weymouth	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weymouth	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.04.24	Welling United - Weymouth	0:0
04.11.23	Weymouth - Welling United	1:1
18.03.23	Weymouth - Welling United	2:1
26.11.22	Welling United - Weymouth	1:2
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Weymouth - Welling United	3:0
English National League South
04.01.20	Welling United - Weymouth	1:3
07.09.19	Weymouth - Welling United	1:0

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