Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday


	Weymouth		St Albans City

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.5	3.3	2.65
	2.5	3.2	2.84
	2.51	3.17	2.84
	2.45	3.28	2.66
	2.5	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.36)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	2.7 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Weymouth
37.3%

Draw
28.5%

St Albans City
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

28.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

St Albans City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Albans City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Weymouth - St Albans City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Charles K. ⚽,
86', 1 - 1, Brooks C. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Weymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Weymouth won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:18 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Weymouth won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Weymouth
English National League South
05.11.24	Weston-super-Mare - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Aveley - Weymouth	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Weymouth - Farnborough	1:1 ✺
22.10.24	Bath City - Weymouth	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Weymouth - Chesham United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWTTT
- St Albans City
English National League South
05.11.24	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	St Albans City - Bath City	3:2 ✺
22.10.24	Slough Town - St Albans City	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	St Albans City - Welling United	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - St Albans City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
27.02.24	Weymouth - St Albans City	3:3
05.08.23	St Albans City - Weymouth	2:1
18.02.23	Weymouth - St Albans City	0:0
08.11.22	St Albans City - Weymouth	3:2
21.12.19	Weymouth - St Albans City	0:1
English FA Cup
05.10.19	Weymouth - St Albans City	4:1
English National League South
14.09.19	St Albans City - Weymouth	1:4

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