Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Turnbull Ground (Whitby)


	Whitby Town		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.1
	1.88	3.75	3.3
	1.91	3.95	3.22
	1.94	3.94	3.38	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.3
	1.9	3.76	3.26
	1.88	3.75	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2)	3.78 ↑ (3.61)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whitby Town
48%

Draw
24.1%

Basford United
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whitby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Whitby Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Whitby Town - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Curry M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Whitby won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Whitby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Whitby won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:11 (average 2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Whitby won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whitby Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Whitby Town - Worksop Town	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Prescot Cables - Whitby Town	1:0 ✺
18.02.25	Whitby Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Leek Town - Whitby Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLTW
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Basford United - Lancaster City	0:4 ✺
01.03.25	Stockton Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Basford United - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bamber Bridge - Basford United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Basford United - Whitby Town	3:4
03.02.24	Whitby Town - Basford United	3:0
02.12.23	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1
02.04.22	Whitby Town - Basford United	0:0
20.11.21	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1
16.11.19	Basford United - Whitby Town	3:3
02.03.19	Whitby Town - Basford United	4:1

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