Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 14

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Whyteleafe		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.60	2.20
	2.55	3.45	2.25
	2.64	3.75	2.31
	2.54	3.88	2.3	Watch
	2.4	3.65	2.25
	2.46	3.64	2.27
	2.55	3.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.36)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	2.26 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Whyteleafe
35.6%

Draw
24.7%

Burgess Hill Town
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

24.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Whyteleafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Burgess Hill Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Whyteleafe than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Whyteleafe - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Aromolaran T. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Warren M. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Lambert C. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Lambert C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 2 - 3, Edoukou Y. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 14th and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Burgess Hill could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Burgess Hill has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Whyteleafe has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Burgess Hill	13	5	5	3	24:20	4	20
15	Whyteleafe	14	4	3	7	22:25	-3	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Whyteleafe
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.10.26	Whyteleafe - Dartford	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Whyteleafe - Whitehawk	5:0 ✺
10.10.26	Maldon & Tiptree - Whyteleafe	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Welling United - Whyteleafe	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	Whyteleafe - Brentwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWWLL
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
17.10.26	Welling United - Burgess Hill Town	4:2 ✺
13.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Dulwich Hamlet	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Aveley	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Burgess Hill Town - Maldon & Tiptree	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Burgess Hill Town - Ramsgate	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
11.08.26	Burgess Hill Town - Whyteleafe	3:0

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