The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Welling United 45%
Draw 25.8%
Burgess Hill Town 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.4%
24.9%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
25.3%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+1%)
Welling United - Burgess Hill Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Shomotun F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
60', 2 - 0, Shomotun F. ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, Morrison H. ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, Majoyegbe L. ⚽,
74', 4 - 1, Melvin-Lambert N. ⚽,
88', 4 - 2, Vorster G. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 8th).
Welling has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Burgess Hill shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Welling could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Burgess Hill has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Welling is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Welling has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Welling against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
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