Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Welling United		Burgess Hill Town

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.55	2.38
	2.52	3.52	2.48
	2.44	3.80	2.39	Watch
	2.5	3.75	2.48
	2.46	3.65	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	3.65 ↓ (3.8)	2.43 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
37.2%

Draw
25.1%

Burgess Hill Town
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.1%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

23.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Burgess Hill Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgess Hill Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Welling United - Burgess Hill Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Box M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Ufuah J. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Rea G. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Welling is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Burgess Hill has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Welling may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Welling has had a series of away games.

Recently, Burgess Hill has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.11.25	Welling United - Folkestone Invicta	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Dartford - Welling United	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	St Albans City - Welling United	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Ramsgate - Welling United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Burgess Hill Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
01.11.25	Burgess Hill Town - Canvey Island	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Folkestone Invicta	1:4 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Whitehawk	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Carshalton Athletic - Burgess Hill Town	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Burgess Hill Town - Hashtag United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW

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