Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Widzewa Łódź (Lodz)

Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Widzew Łódź		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.2
	1.95	3.5	3.5	Watch
	1.85	3.84	4.13
	1.94	3.58	3.72	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.1
	1.98	3.62	3.58	Watch
	2.37	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.35)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	3.44 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widzew Łódź
46.3%

Draw
26.2%

Pogoń Szczecin
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widzew Łódź's performance.

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Szczecin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widzew Łódź that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Szczecin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Widzew will win (votes: 38 - 86.4%). Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Widzew: 76.3% – 96.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Widzew (1.30) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DNB - Widzew (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Widzew (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Widzew Łódź will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Widzew (votes: 29 - 90.6%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 9.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Kikolski M. (G) 91. Krajewski M. 14. Visus R. 4. Zyro M. 13. Gallapeni D. 18. Selahi L. (C) 77. Baena Perez A. 10. Alvarez F. 6. Shehu J. 57. Akere S. 99. Bergier S.	77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 22. Loncar D. 2. Huja M. 32. Koutris L. 6. Bieganski J. 7. Juwara M. 10. Przyborek A. 61. Smolinski K. 18. Mukairu P. 11. Grosicki K. (C)
Substitutes
5. Andreou S. 78. Cybulski K. 55. Czyz S. 7. Fornalczyk M. 1. Gikiewicz R. (G) 25. Hanousek Mar. 20. Klukowski A. 33. Krzywanski J. (G) 43. Madej L. 19. Pawlowski B. 8. Teklic T. 24. Volanakis P.	29. Bak M. 38. Jakubowski R. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 99. Kostorz K. 47. Lawa N. 17. Lis J. 19. Ndiaye M. 14. Pozo J. 37. Stanowski K.
Coaches
Sopic Z.	Kolendowicz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Gallapeni D. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Huja M. ⚽, Juwara M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Shehu J. 🟨,
54', Akere S. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
62', Mukairu P. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
62', Koutris L. 🟨,
63', Huja M. 🟨,
66', Bergier S. 🟥,
71', Shehu J. ↓, Czyz S. ↑,
71', Baena Perez A. ↓, Teklic T. ↑,
71', Gallapeni D. ↓, Andreou S. ↑,
76', Smolinski K. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Przyborek A. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
88', Selahi L. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
89', Bieganski J. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
90+5', Pozo J. 🟨,
90+9', Juwara M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Widzew might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Widzew: Kozlovsky S. (Ankle Injury) Therkildsen P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Widzew won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Widzew won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa
15.08.25	Cracovia - Widzew Łódź	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Widzew Łódź - Wisła Płock	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Widzew Łódź - GKS Katowice	3:0 ✺
27.07.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
19.07.25	Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWLW
- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Górnik Zabrze	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Arka Gdynia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
22.02.25	Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	0:4
17.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:0
16.12.23	Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	1:2
30.07.23	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:1
28.01.23	Widzew Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	3:3
17.07.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	2:1
12.04.14	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	1:0

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