Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Poland	18:00	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1x2
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA


	Wieczysta Kraków		Raków Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.60	Watch
	1.93	3.75	3.50
	1.98	3.75	3.35
	1.97	3.94	3.71
	2.08	3.97	3.18	Watch
	1.91	3.90	3.65
	1.93	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.65	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.39)	3.79 ↓ (3.81)	3.53 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
48.4%

Draw
24.9%

Raków Częstochowa
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.7%

24.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

24.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Wieczysta Kraków - Raków Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Raków will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Kochalski M. (G) 15. Djermanovic A. 16. Milic A. 55. Dujmovic D. 4. Fila K. 10. Christensen T. 20. Maigaard M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 19. de la Rosa J. 9. Koulouris E. 12. Piazon L.	1. Trelowski K. (G) 7. Tudor F. (C) 25. Racovitan B. 4. Svarnas S. 26. Otieno E. 11. Emreli M. 23. Struski K. 6. Repka O. 21. Pienko T. 39. Brusberg I. 9. Makuch P.
Substitutes
21. Bialek B. 17. Dankowski K. 11. Knezevic N. 8. Lederman B. 88. Lungoyi C. 23. Miki Villar 1. Mikulko A. (G) 97. Mras T. 70. Pusic P. 7. Semedo L. 27. Vojtko M. 13. Zagrodzki K.	99. Basse A. 3. Brorsson A. 80. Diaby-Fadiga L. 71. Karic T. (G) 10. Kochergin V. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 44. Mircetic B. 2. Napieraj J. 36. Perovic M. 20. Silva J. C. 19. Zatterstrom N. 29. Zolneczko W. (G)
Coaches
Kopic Z.	Kaczmarek T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Racovitan B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Svarnas S. 🟨,
59', de la Rosa J. ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
62', Brusberg I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
62', Pienko T. ↓, Silva J. C. ↑,
63', Dujmovic D. 🟨,
65', Milic A. 🟨,
67', Pestka K. 🟨,
69', 1 - 0, Semedo L. ⚽, Koulouris E. (A),
79', 1 - 1, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Koulouris E. ↓, Lungoyi C. ↑,
79', Pestka K. ↓, Vojtko M. ↑,
87', Emreli M. ↓, Basse A. ↑,
87', Piazon L. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
87', Fila K. ↓, Dankowski K. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽, Makuch P. (A),
90+1', Otieno E. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
90+1', Makuch P. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th and 18th in the Relegation - Division 1).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Wieczysta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Raków has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Wieczysta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Wieczysta: Feiertag S. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Raków: Otieno E. (Inactive).

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Wieczysta Krakow	12	2	2	8	16:23	-7	8
18	Rakow	12	2	0	10	16:28	-12	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.10.26	GKS Katowice - Wieczysta Kraków	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Wisła Płock	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	4:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.09.26	Widzew Łódź - Wieczysta Kraków	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Wieczysta Kraków	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTL
- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.10.26	Raków Częstochowa - GKS Katowice	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	4:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.26	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLW

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