Match Info

Division 1 - Round 5

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)


	Wieczysta Kraków		Wisła Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.58	3.6	2.4	Watch
	2.67	3.88	2.38
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	2.53	3.62	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.21)	3.6 ↓ (3.63)	2.32 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
34.3%

Draw
25.8%

Wisła Kraków
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

25.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

25.5%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wieczysta Kraków's performance.

Wisła Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wisła Kraków might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wieczysta Kraków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wisła Kraków could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Wieczysta Kraków - Wisła Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Wisła will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wieczysta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Wieczysta (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Wisła (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 2 - 50%). Wisła (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 7. Gajos M. 12. Piazon L. 23. Villar Miki 70. Pusic P. 77. Semedo L. 18. Feiertag S.	28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 34. Giger R. 97. Biedrzycki W. 29. Grujcic D. 2. Lelieveld J. 8. Carbo M. 41. Duda K. 51. Kuziemka M. 7. Ertlthaler J. 10. Duarte F. 9. Rodado A. (C)
Substitutes
27. Carlitos 30. Donkor J. 3. Goralski J. 29. Lysiak P. 6. Pietrzak R. 21. Rafa Lopes 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D.	56. Baniowski F. 1. Broda K. (G) 5. Colley J. 12. Igbekeme J. 52. Krzyzanowski J. 50. Kutwa M. 11. Nikaj A. 20. Omic E. 19. Sukiennicki O.
Coaches
Cecherz P.	Jop M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Feiertag S. ⚽, Piazon L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Duarte F. ↓, Igbekeme J. ↑,
52', Carbo M. 🟨,
63', Gajos M. ↓, Goralski J. ↑,
63', Semedo L. ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
65', Carbo M. ↓, Omic E. ↑,
72', Pusic P. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
72', Pazdan M. ↓, Szymonowicz D. ↑,
75', Feiertag S. ↓, Rafa Lopes ↑,
81', Giger R. ↓, Krzyzanowski J. ↑,
81', Kuziemka M. ↓, Sukiennicki O. ↑,
88', Ertlthaler J. ↓, Baniowski F. ↑,
90+7', 1 - 1, Biedrzycki W. ⚽, Duda K. (A),

Preview

Played on the field of the visiting team.

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Wieczysta has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wisła is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Wisła may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wisła could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
28.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Ruch Chorzów	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	ŁKS Łódź - Wieczysta Kraków	0:0 ✺
15.09.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLT
- Wisła Kraków
Polish Division 1
29.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Polonia Bytom	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.25	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Wisła Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.25	Górnik Łęczna - Wisła Kraków	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.25	Wisła Kraków - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWWTL

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