Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Szczech L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wieczysta Kraków		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4.33	5.25
	1.55	4.35	5.15	Watch
	1.49	4.49	5.52
	1.20	6.79	11.23	Watch
	1.53	4.25	5.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.45)	4.74 ↑ (4.59)	6.26 ↑ (5.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
64.7%

Draw
20.1%

Stal Mielec
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

20.2%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

21.8%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Mielec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Stal Mielec (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wieczysta Kraków will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 1 - 50%). Stal Mielec (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 8. Swedrowski T. 12. Piazon L. 23. Villar Miki 70. Pusic P. 77. Semedo L. 18. Feiertag S.	1. Matys M. (G) 18. Wlazlo P. 44. Puerto I. 15. Senger M. 27. Diez A. 6. Pisek J. 23. Sommerfeld K. 32. Gerbowski F. 10. Domanski M. (C) 9. Losada M. 90. Kruszelnicki P.
Substitutes
30. Donkor J. 7. Gajos M. 3. Goralski J. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 21. Rafa Lopes 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D.	33. Bukowski A. 13. Jalocha K. (G) 3. Kowalik P. 21. Kwiatkowski P. 17. Mazurek D. 11. Odolak K. 77. Sadlocha K. 16. Szady N. 20. Szeliga B.
Coaches
Cecherz P.	Djurdjevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Pestka K. ⚽, Piazon L. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Feiertag S. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
45', Pestka K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gerbowski F. ↓, Szeliga B. ↑,
61', Wlazlo P. 🟥,
65', Pusic P. ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
68', Losada M. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
69', Puerto I. 🟨,
74', Villar Miki ↓, Donkor J. ↑,
76', Kruszelnicki P. 🟨,
76', Mikolajewski D. 🟨,
76', Sommerfeld K. ↓, Bukowski A. ↑,
76', Domanski M. ↓, Sadlocha K. ↑,
78', Swedrowski T. ↓, Goralski J. ↑,
78', Feiertag S. ↓, Rafa Lopes ↑,
82', Pisek J. 🟨,
85', Dankowski K. 🟨,
87', Kruszelnicki P. ↓, Mazurek D. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Wieczysta is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
30.08.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	4:2 ✺
25.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6 ✺
11.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWL
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
31.08.25	Stal Mielec - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	GKS Tychy - Stal Mielec	0:1 ✺
21.08.25	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Stal Mielec - Górnik Łęczna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWLT

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