Match Info

Division 1 - Round 6

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Polonia Warsaw		Wieczysta Kraków

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.45
	2.48	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.56	3.7	2.63
	2.88	3.73	2.20	Watch
	2.62	3.2	2.45
	2.49	3.5	2.49
	2.8	3.65	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.58)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
35.7%

Draw
26.3%

Wieczysta Kraków
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

27.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.3%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Wieczysta will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wieczysta: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Wieczysta (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wieczysta Kraków will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wieczysta (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Kuchta M. (C) 22. Olszewski P. 3. Salihu H. 30. Cisse S. 99. Durmus I. 16. Poczobut B. 7. Vega D. 26. Gnaase D. 44. Piotrowski B. 11. Mlynski M. 9. Zjawinski L.	1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 89. Mikolajewski D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 33. Pestka K. 8. Swedrowski T. 19. Trabka M. 30. Donkor J. 27. Carlitos 77. Semedo L. 21. Rafa Lopes
Substitutes
10. Bajdur M. 17. Dadok R. 5. Hoxhallari E. 21. Kapusta A. 1. Sandach A. (G) 23. Skrabb S. 90. Spiewak K. 4. Szur P. 8. Wojciechowski O.	24. Feiertag S. 7. Gajos M. 3. Goralski J. 14. Koj M. 29. Lysiak P. 6. Pietrzak R. 11. Sandoval D. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D.
Coaches
Pawlak M.	Cecherz P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Olszewski P. ↓, Dadok R. ↑,
33', Poczobut B. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Carlitos ⚽,
40', Trabka M. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Rafa Lopes ⚽, Pestka K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Gnaase D. ↓, Skrabb S. ↑,
51', Dadok R. 🟨,
57', Donkor J. ↓, Sandoval D. ↑,
59', Salihu H. 🟨,
63', 0 - 3, Dankowski K. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
64', Vega D. ↓, Hoxhallari E. ↑,
64', Carlitos ↓, Feiertag S. ↑,
64', Cisse S. ↓, Szur P. ↑,
64', Rafa Lopes ↓, Lysiak P. ↑,
65', 0 - 4, Lysiak P. ⚽, Semedo L. (A),
70', Mikulko A. 🟨,
75', Trabka M. ↓, Gajos M. ↑,
75', Pestka K. ↓, Pietrzak R. ↑,
78', 0 - 5, Lysiak P. ⚽, Sandoval D. (A),
79', Piotrowski B. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
86', 1 - 5, Durmus I. ⚽,
89', 1 - 6, Semedo L. ⚽, Sandoval D. (A),

Preview

Recent performances by Polonia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wieczysta is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Warsaw - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
15.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:4 ✺
02.08.25	Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Polonia Warsaw	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLT
- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
11.08.25	Puszcza Niepołomice - Wieczysta Kraków	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
06.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
01.08.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Znicz Pruszków	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Siedlce	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWT

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