The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wieczysta Kraków 45.9%
Draw 22.8%
Miedź Legnica 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.7%
23.9%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
22.7%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wieczysta Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wieczysta Kraków's form might have worsened.
Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Miedź Legnica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wieczysta Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miedź Legnica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
Wieczysta Kraków - Miedź Legnica Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Miedź will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 29.6% – 90.4%.
1. Mikulko A. (G) 4. Fila K. 5. Olsson E. 15. Djermanovic A. 6. Pietrzak R. (C) 7. Gajos M. 12. Piazon L. 20. Maigaard M. 23. Miki Villar 18. Feiertag S. 80. Dziegielewski N.
44. Wrabel J. (G) 15. Jovicic M. 14. Drygas K. (C) 3. Grudzinski M. 78. Polak C. 23. Rakip E. 80. Petrovic Z. 49. Szymoniak O. 18. Cordoba A. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
27. Carlitos 17. Dankowski K. 9. Paulinho 33. Pestka K. 70. Pusic P. 77. Semedo L. 28. Soberka K. (G) 44. Szymonowicz D. 19. Trabka M.
7. Bochnak M. 25. Czyborra L. 11. Kuchko G. 27. Letniowski J. 95. Mansfeld M. 12. Narozny K. (G) 8. Serafin J. 59. Stepinski P.
Coaches
Moskal K.
Niedzwiedz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Djermanovic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Dziegielewski N. ↓, Trabka M. ↑,
54', Miki Villar ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
70', Feiertag S. ↓, Carlitos ↑,
70', Gajos M. ↓, Pusic P. ↑,
77', Drygas K. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
77', Antonik K. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
77', Rakip E. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
77', Pietrzak R. ↓, Pestka K. ↑,
83', Petrovic Z. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
83', Stanclik D. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽, Szymoniak O. (A),
89', 🟨,
Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
Wieczysta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Miedź has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wieczysta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.