Match Info

Division 1 - Round 30

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion ROSRRiT (Siedlce)

Referee: Malyszek J. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Pogoń Siedlce		Miedź Legnica

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.1	3.35	2.15
	3.37	3.45	2.28
	3.19	3.55	2.13	Watch
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.15	3.36	2.21	Watch
	2.98	3.08	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.98)	3.31 ↑ (3.08)	2.16 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Pogoń Siedlce
29.6%

Draw
27.8%

Miedź Legnica
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.7%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

27.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Siedlce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Miedź Legnica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Miedź will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Lemanowicz J. (G) 14. Jakubik D. 3. Dembek B. 6. Flis M. 2. Mis K. 31. Zbrog J. 10. Drag M. 16. Poczobut B. 56. Demianiuk C. 7. Szuprytowski D. 13. Podlinski K.	72. Lucic I. (G) 7. Bochnak M. 59. Stepinski P. 15. Jovicic M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 78. Polak C. 80. Petrovic Z. 8. Serafin J. 11. Kuchko G. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D.
Substitutes
11. Famulak M. 26. Kolodziejski M. 19. Kozlowski O. 4. Misiak P. 41. Pakulski D. 39. Rosolek M. 72. Szczytniewski S. 1. Tomkiel J. (G) 95. Zielonka N.	18. Cordoba A. 14. Drygas K. 5. Kovacevic A. 27. Letniowski J. 95. Mansfeld M. 10. Mioc B. 23. Rakip E. 49. Szymoniak O. 44. Wrabel J. (G)
Coaches
Nocon A.	Niedzwiedz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Drag M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Flis M. ⚽, Podlinski K. (A),
63', 2 - 0, Podlinski K. ⚽, Drag M. (A),
65', Demianiuk C. ↓, Famulak M. ↑,
65', Kuchko G. ↓, Szymoniak O. ↑,
65', Bochnak M. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
65', Stepinski P. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
67', Jovicic M. 🟨,
74', Petrovic Z. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
78', Szuprytowski D. ↓, Rosolek M. ↑,
78', Zbrog J. ↓, Misiak P. ↑,
81', Stanclik D. ↓, Kovacevic A. ↑,
82', Flis M. 🟨,
85', Famulak M. 🟨,
89', Drag M. ↓, Kolodziejski M. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Miedź might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Siedlce won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Legnica: 4.51% Pogon Siedlce: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
10	Pogon Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9:7	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Siedlce - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 29.7%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Siedlce
Polish Division 1
19.04.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pogoń Siedlce	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - GKS Tychy	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Chrobry Głogów	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Znicz Pruszków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLLW
- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polonia Warsaw - Miedź Legnica	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Wisła Kraków - Miedź Legnica	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.10.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:2
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
Polish Division 1
10.05.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica	3:0
03.11.24	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	4:1
19.05.18	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	2:0
28.10.17	Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica	2:3
28.05.17	Miedź Legnica - Pogoń Siedlce	3:0

Upcoming Matches