Match Info

Division 1 - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: ArcelorMittal Park (Sosnowiec)

Referee: Szczerbowicz M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Wieczysta Kraków		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.98	Watch
	2.1	3.91	3.14
	2.19	3.76	2.87	Watch
	2.12	3.45	2.96
	2.08	3.75	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)	3.66 ↓ (3.76)	2.99 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wieczysta Kraków
43.8%

Draw
25.3%

Śląsk Wrocław
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

24.8%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

24.6%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wieczysta Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wieczysta Kraków than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Wieczysta Kraków - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wieczysta will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Śląsk Wrocław will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mikulko A. (G) 17. Dankowski K. 44. Szymonowicz D. 2. Pazdan M. (C) 6. Pietrzak R. 8. Swedrowski T. 12. Piazon L. 77. Semedo L. 7. Gajos M. 23. Miki Villar 18. Feiertag S.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 44. Malec M. 3. Szota S. (C) 8. Llinares M. 81. Sokolowski P. 33. Matsenko Y. 11. Marjanac L. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 47. Klimek A. 91. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
27. Carlitos 4. Fila K. 29. Lysiak P. 89. Mikolajewski D. 33. Pestka K. 70. Pusic P. 21. Rafa Lopes 28. Soberka K. (G) 19. Trabka M.	4. Dijakovic M. 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 70. Kozak M. 16. Kurowski K. 24. Sharabura Y. 31. Sliczniak H. (G) 9. Warchol D. 15. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Moskal K.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, Gajos M. ⚽, Feiertag S. (A),
15', Sokolowski P. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Semedo L. (Pen),
31', 2 - 1, Samiec-Talar P. ⚽, Llinares M. (A),
33', Sokolowski P. ↓, Halimi B. ↑,
45+4', 2 - 2, Marjanac L. ⚽, Samiec-Talar P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 3, Klimek A. ⚽,
56', Gajos M. ↓, Trabka M. ↑,
57', Feiertag S. ↓, Rafa Lopes ↑,
63', 3 - 3, Semedo L. ⚽,
71', Rafa Lopes 🟨,
75', Marjanac L. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
76', Klimek A. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
77', Semedo L. ↓, Pusic P. ↑,
77', Dankowski K. ↓, Fila K. ↑,
81', Piazon L. 🟨,
83', Miki Villar ↓, Carlitos ↑,
87', Matsenko Y. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
88', Banaszak P. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
89', Fila K. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Wieczysta is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Śląsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wieczysta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wieczysta Kraków
Polish Division 1
22.11.25	Chrobry Głogów - Wieczysta Kraków	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Stal Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Miedź Legnica - Wieczysta Kraków	3:2 ✺
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	GKS Tychy - Wieczysta Kraków	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLT
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
21.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
18.07.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Wieczysta Kraków	1:1

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