Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion MZOS Znicz (Pruszków)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.72	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.5	3.68	2.52
	2.70	3.61	2.37	Watch
	2.64	3.46	2.26
	2.62	3.13	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.62)	3.51 ↑ (3.13)	2.37 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
34.9%

Draw
26.2%

Śląsk Wrocław
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.5%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

29.5%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Śląsk will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 2 - 40%). Śląsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 6. Farbiszewski B. 16. Gajgier A. 99. Noiszewski K. 52. Olewinski O. 21. Los K. (C) 77. Adkonis J. 27. Konstantyn J. 71. Szczepaniak M. 7. Jedrasik J. 19. Adamski R.	25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 3. Szota S. (C) 33. Matsenko Y. 8. Llinares M. 81. Sokolowski P. 44. Malec M. 11. Marjanac L. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 47. Klimek A. 91. Banaszak P.
Substitutes
30. Barnowski D. 9. Gieroba S. 25. Glacel M. (G) 8. Gulczynski G. 10. Jaron D. 11. Kargulewicz K. 13. Lis J. 31. Staniszewski J. 20. Wypart O.	4. Dijakovic M. 19. Dziuba M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 29. Jezierski J. 70. Kozak M. 13. Kurowski K. 24. Sharabura Y.
Coaches
Stokowiec P.	Simundza A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Rosiak M. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Adamski R. ⚽, Noiszewski K. (A),
19', Rosiak M. 🟨,
19', Marjanac L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Banaszak P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Szczepaniak M. ↓, Jaron D. ↑,
61', Jedrasik J. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
61', Adkonis J. ↓, Staniszewski J. ↑,
71', Konstantyn J. ↓, Barnowski D. ↑,
74', Marjanac L. ↓, Jezierski J. ↑,
74', Klimek A. ↓, Sharabura Y. ↑,
77', Banaszak P. ↓, Kurowski K. ↑,
82', Olewinski O. ↓, Kargulewicz K. ↑,
87', Jezierski J. 🟨,
88', Rosiak M. ↓, Halimi B. ↑,
88', Samiec-Talar P. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Jaron D. ⚽,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.

Grodzisk Mazowiecki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Śląsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 34.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Club Friendly
14.11.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	5:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
09.11.25	GKS Tychy - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Odra Opole	2:1 ✺
27.10.25	Wieczysta Kraków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:3 ✺
17.10.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Ruch Chorzów	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 LWWWT
- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
09.11.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW

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