Match Info

Division 1 - Round 16

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Tarczynski Arena (Wrocław)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app


	Śląsk Wrocław		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.4
	2	3.5	3.35	Watch
	2.02	3.58	3.59
	2.11	3.48	3.10	Watch
	2.03	3.35	3.24
	2.1	3.55	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2)	3.49 ↓ (3.68)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Śląsk Wrocław
45.3%

Draw
26.5%

Polonia Bytom
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

25%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

24%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Śląsk Wrocław - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Śląsk Wrocław will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Szromnik M. (G) 27. Rosiak M. 3. Szota S. (C) 44. Malec M. 8. Llinares M. 81. Sokolowski P. 29. Jezierski J. 7. Samiec-Talar P. 70. Kozak M. 11. Marjanac L. 91. Banaszak P.	1. Holewinski A. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 30. Krzyzak O. 77. Szymanski J. 22. Calavera J. 8. Labojko M. 29. Terlecki K. 7. Zielinski L. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 23. Arak J. (C) 11. Andrzejczak K.
Substitutes
4. Dijakovic M. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 78. Guercio T. 6. Halimi B. 47. Klimek A. 33. Matsenko Y. 24. Sharabura Y. 9. Warchol D. 15. Yriarte J.	27. Apolinarski J. 4. Bakala M. 21. Burkiewicz A. 5. Matic M. 35. Mazur K. (G) 10. Michalski K. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Stefanski P. 9. Wojtyra K.
Coaches
Simundza A.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Zielinski L. ⚽,
15', Marjanac L. 🟨,
23', Calavera J. 🟨,
28', 0 - 2, Arak J. ⚽, Szymanski J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kozak M. ↓, Halimi B. ↑,
46', Marjanac L. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Halimi B. ⚽,
54', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
54', Calavera J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
66', Terlecki K. ↓, Bakala M. ↑,
66', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Wojtyra K. ↑,
71', Zielinski L. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
77', Michalski K. 🟨,
77', 1 - 3, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
81', Jezierski J. ↓, Warchol D. ↑,
81', Rosiak M. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Llinares M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.81%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Śląsk Wrocław
Polish Division 1
03.11.25	ŁKS Łódź - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Olimpia Grudziądz - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Znicz Pruszków - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
02.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Znicz Pruszków	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
28.10.25	Goczałkowice Zdrój II - Polonia Bytom	0:7 ✺
Polish Division 1
25.10.25	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Polonia Bytom - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLTT

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