Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	Wil 1900		Chiasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.82	3.4	3.8
	1.83	3.55	3.65
	1.88	3.79	3.94
	1.85	3.6	3.8
	1.88	3.84	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.96)	3.6 ↑ (3.4)	3.76 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wil 1900
49.8%

Draw
25.6%

Chiasso
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

18%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wil 1900 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Chiasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wil 1900 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wil 1900 - Chiasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Wil is a favorite.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Wil won 10 matches, drawn 11 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 42-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Wil won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
07.05.21	Neuchâtel Xamax - Wil 1900	2:2 ✺
01.05.21	Wil 1900 - Schaffhausen	2:3 ✺
24.04.21	Kriens - Wil 1900	2:2 ✺
20.04.21	Wil 1900 - Aarau	7:0 ✺
17.04.21	Grasshoppers - Wil 1900	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWL
- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
07.05.21	Chiasso - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
30.04.21	Thun - Chiasso	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Chiasso - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Chiasso - Grasshoppers	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Aarau - Chiasso	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
26.02.21	Chiasso - Wil 1900	1:0
11.12.20	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	0:3
31.10.20	Chiasso - Wil 1900	1:1
30.07.20	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	1:1
22.02.20	Chiasso - Wil 1900	2:0
09.11.19	Wil 1900 - Chiasso	1:4
20.07.19	Chiasso - Wil 1900	0:1

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