Match Info

Date: 30 April 2021, Friday


	Thun		Chiasso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	4	4.6	Watch
	1.52	4.1	4.75
	1.57	3.95	4.7
	1.59	4.29	5.34
	1.55	4	5.5
	1.6	4.2	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	4.09 ↓ (4.23)	5 ↓ (5.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thun
59%

Draw
22.6%

Chiasso
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

12.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Chiasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chiasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Thun - Chiasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Thun is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chiasso is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Thun is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thun won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Thun won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
23.04.21	Grasshoppers - Thun	3:1 ✺
19.04.21	Winterthur - Thun	1:2 ✺
16.04.21	Thun - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0 ✺
09.04.21	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	2:3 ✺
03.04.21	Thun - Wil 1900	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWTWW
- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
23.04.21	Chiasso - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Chiasso - Grasshoppers	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Aarau - Chiasso	3:1 ✺
09.04.21	Chiasso - Kriens	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Winterthur - Chiasso	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
19.03.21	Chiasso - Thun	1:1
28.11.20	Thun - Chiasso	3:0
16.10.20	Chiasso - Thun	0:2
Club Friendly
11.07.18	Thun - Chiasso	3:2
15.07.17	Thun - Chiasso	5:1

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