Match Info

Date: 7 May 2021, Friday


	Chiasso		Winterthur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.65
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.19	3.5	2.8
	2.26	3.85	2.92
	2.3	3.4	2.88
	2.32	3.64	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.52)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	2.81 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chiasso
41%

Draw
26%

Winterthur
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.2%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

18.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chiasso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chiasso than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chiasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Winterthur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chiasso - Winterthur Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Winterthur have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Chiasso won 5 matches, drawn 10 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 25-48.

Including matches at home between the teams Chiasso won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chiasso
Swiss Challenge League
30.04.21	Thun - Chiasso	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Chiasso - Lausanne Ouchy	2:1 ✺
20.04.21	Chiasso - Grasshoppers	2:2 ✺
16.04.21	Aarau - Chiasso	3:1 ✺
09.04.21	Chiasso - Kriens	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWTLT
- FC Winterthur
Swiss Challenge League
30.04.21	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:1 ✺
23.04.21	Winterthur - Aarau	3:3 ✺
19.04.21	Winterthur - Thun	1:2 ✺
16.04.21	Winterthur - Lausanne Ouchy	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Winterthur - Wil 1900	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
03.04.21	Winterthur - Chiasso	0:1
23.01.21	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:3
02.12.20	Winterthur - Chiasso	2:0
17.07.20	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:2
02.02.20	Winterthur - Chiasso	3:2
26.10.19	Winterthur - Chiasso	2:1
24.09.19	Chiasso - Winterthur	0:2

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