Match Info

Challenge League - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Lidl Arena (Wil)

Referee: Schelbli L. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5


	Wil 1900		Étoile Carouge

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.4	3.1	2.82
	2.65	3.2	2.96
	2.42	3.2	2.96	Watch
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.52	3.28	2.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.82 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wil 1900
37.7%

Draw
29.4%

Étoile Carouge
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

31.2%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Wil 1900 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wil 1900 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muslija G. (G) 31. Diet Y. B. 13. Kaiba D. 15. Schmid Y. 26. Ato-Zandanga N. 4. Jacovic D. 20. Ndau K. (C) 11. Breedijk L. 23. N'djoli J. 10. Hajij M. 14. Rapp S.	1. Antonio S. (C) 22. Rufli V. 25. Felder V. 14. Zrankeon G. 3. Hoxha F. 8. Ricardo Alves 6. El Jaouhari M. 77. Escorza T. 27. Correia O. 76. Itaitinga 99. Bouchlarhem T.
Substitutes
25. Aliu X. 8. Bunjaku O. 22. Bytyqi E. 30. Correia S. 7. Coulibaly P. 16. Keller J. (G) 2. Nwannah U. 21. Saho U. 19. Schreiber L.	12. Boulkous N. 33. Bua K. 18. Diallo M. M. (G) 88. Essiena Avang L. 24. Fankhauser S. 2. Neves D. 23. Philippin R. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O.
Coaches
Hammerli M.	Nogueira P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', Jacovic D. 🟨,
16', Hoxha F. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Bouchlarhem T. ⚽, Escorza T. (A),
37', 0 - 2, Correia O. ⚽, Bouchlarhem T. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Kaiba D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 3, Correia O. ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
64', Breedijk L. ↓, Aliu X. ↑,
64', Hajij M. ↓, Coulibaly P. ↑,
64', N'djoli J. ↓, Bytyqi E. ↑,
74', Rapp S. ↓, Saho U. ↑,
80', Hoxha F. ↓, Philippin R. ↑,
81', Escorza T. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
81', Itaitinga ↓, Samba T. ↑,
83', Ato-Zandanga N. ↓, Schreiber L. ↑,
86', Correia O. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
88', Antonio S. 🟥,
90', Bouchlarhem T. ↓, Diallo M. M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wil won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wil: Diarra M. (Injury) Staubli T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B. (Yellow Cards) Harrington F. (Inactive) Walker M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Étoile: Bua K. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wil won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Etoile-Carouge	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
9	Wil	9	2	3	4	15:21	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wil 1900
Swiss Challenge League
13.03.26	Yverdon - Wil 1900	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Wil 1900 - Bellinzona	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Wil 1900	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Wil 1900 - Lausanne Ouchy	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Wil 1900 - Rapperswil-Jona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTTWL
- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
13.03.26	Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge	0:3 ✺
06.03.26	Étoile Carouge - Aarau	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
13.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
05.12.25	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	0:0
08.08.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	1:0
13.04.25	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	2:2
24.01.25	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	1:1
30.11.24	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	2:1
30.08.24	Étoile Carouge - Wil 1900	3:1

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